Monday Marketing Links | 031824

Cookie Deprecation is Coming - Should Advertisers be Worried?

Apple blocked third party cookies for 100% of traffic back in 2020, and most brands see almost half of their traffic from Safari (!!!) So that impact has already been felt for a while now.

as long as you’re using ad platforms platforms (Google, Meta, TikTok, Email/SMS) and aren’t super reliant on display networks, there likely won’t be a major impact.

building out a CDP, beefing up first-party data capture, etc. Those are considered best practices anyway, and will become even more beneficial with all of the privacy changes on the horizon and beyond.

Cookies crumbled a while ago, Chrome phasing out third-party cookies is just the final nail in the crumb filled coffin.

Survey: Retailers should focus on loyalty, brand awareness

The vast majority of retailers believe that their customer experience is at or better than their peers, but new data says otherwise.

The top three strategic outcomes experienced retailers should be focused on, according to IDC and SAP, are improving customer loyalty (59%), improving brand awareness (50%), and empowering employees with the right data and tools (43%) to improve the customer experience.

Everyone thinks they’re above average, but that’s not how average works. And there’s usually room for improvement regardless.

Customer experience is a moat. The better the experience, the bigger the moat.

Big Tech accounts for nearly two-thirds of the US digital ad market

Big Tech (Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, and Microsoft) will attract nearly two-thirds of US digital ad dollars this year

That’s more than double its share since we began tracking it in 2008.

LinkedIn plans to add gaming to its platform

boost the time people are spending on the platform, the company is breaking into a totally new area: gaming.

tapping into the same wave of puzzle-mania that helped simple games like Wordle find viral success

one idea LinkedIn appears to be experimenting with involves player scores being organised by places of work, with companies getting “ranked” by those scores.

Taking a page out of the old Facebook playbook and reinventing Solitaire for the browser-first workforce.

Money Stuff: Slorg is Sorry He Burnt Slerf

Basically the way crypto works is that a guy named Slorg makes up a token named Slerf, which is distinguished from other tokens by having a cartoon sloth logo. You send $10 million of Solana crypto tokens to Slorg, and he makes a note to himself that he owes you some Slerfs. Then he accidentally flushes that note down the toilet and, due to the irreversible nature of the blockchain, you get no Slerfs and your money is permanently gone, though Slorg is very sorry.

And now we know how crypto works!

mistake was very good for attention, and attention is the true value of any memecoin. So the obvious thing happened and the new tokens that were released shot up around 5,000%.


It's A Metric!: First Time Impression Ratio

Today’s metric is one I just learned about: First Time Impression Ratio (FTIR)

According to Meta, FTIR is:

The percentage of your daily impressions that comes from people seeing your ad set for the first time.

FTIR = Reach / Impressions

The lower your FTIR, the higher your frequency.

This matters because you can’t survive on “moment of conversion” traffic alone. Such a small sliver of any platform’s user base is in-market for your given offer at any one moment that you should run campaigns to gain brand awareness (this is why you need both brand and performance marketing (and yes, smaller budgets can put these considerations on hold)).

Attention is gold.

A member of the Foxwell Digital community uncovered an interesting FTIR trend:

a dramatic decline from approximately 60-70% to 10-25% over the past 6-12 months [as of March 2024].

This drop suggests a saturation point where the same audiences are being reached repeatedly, leading to what can be termed as ‘audience fatigue,’ rather than just ad fatigue.

The root causes identified include a lack of creative differentiation, reduced influencer marketing budgets, and underinvestment in emerging platforms

A metric on its own isn’t very helpful, but First Time Impression Rate + Frequency could be a useful combo in your budget allocation and performance analysis arsenal when auditing your social accounts.

the first time impression ratio formula of reach divided by impressions over a yellow outline emoji eye background

Why I Am Not Using “Notes”

Disguised as a post about a Substack feature is a reminder that:

  • Most new platform features are attempts at moat building
  • You don’t have to use every bell & whistle
  • You can treat social media as a public journal that you repurpose elsewhere later

Are you trying to find a solution for a problem you haven’t created yet?

A hypothesis is useless without a test.

Pick a measuring stick and get going. Iterate over time.

You can’t have a return on investment if all you’ve invested in is planning out how to measure ROI.

Are you trying to find a solution for a problem you haven’t created yet? graphic

via the Louder Than Words podcast


Saturday Marketing Links | 031624

AI Prompt Engineering Is Dead / Long live AI prompt engineering

According to one research team, no human should manually optimize prompts ever again.

There is an alternative to the trial-and-error-style prompt engineering that yielded such inconsistent results: Ask the language model to devise its own optimal prompt.

this automatically generated prompt did better than the best prompt found through trial-and-error. And, the process was much faster

The optimal prompts the algorithm spit out were so bizarre, no human is likely to have ever come up with them.

The centaur approach is usually better than all human or all AI (at least for a while).

Which makes sense since the two types of “brains” function differently. It’s about finding the optimal combination of the two, not one directing the other.

Speaking of…

Of top-notch algorithms and zoned-out humans

A low-grade algorithm and a switched-on human make better decisions together than a top-notch algorithm with a zoned-out human. And when the algorithm is top-notch, a zoned-out human turns out to be what you get.

rather than thinking of the machine as a replacement for the human, the most interesting questions focus on the sometimes-fraught collaboration between the two.

Gold, bitcoin and stocks hit record highs this week. Then came inflation data

investors shrugged off a higher-than-expected 3.2% annual rise in consumer prices and cheered a cooldown in some categories like food prices.

US wholesale inflation rose 1.6% for the 12 months ended in February, its fastest clip in months, due to a spike in energy prices.

Markets expect the central bank to hold rates steady this month and begin cutting in June or July

Consumer prices climbed 3.2% in February as 2% goal remains elusive

The 12-month inflation rate has been stuck between 3% and 4% since June, hovering just above the Federal Reserve’s official 2% target


Finished reading: Head Lopper Vol. 2: Crimson Tower by Andrew Maclean 📚


Friday Marketing Links | 031524

  1. TikTok’s potential U.S. ban stirs marketers, spurs contingency planning

Meta could capture between 22.5% and 27.5% of TikTok’s U.S. ad revenues in the event of a ban.

YouTube stands to gain an additional $1.24 billion to $1.53 billion, with $410 million to $500 million of TikTok’s ad revenues redirected to Google’s display and search businesses

One of the early thought exercises I was given at Blue Ion was: what happens if Meta was shut down tomorrow?

It’s a good question to occasionally ask about any important distribution channels.

  1. Apple Buys Canadian AI Startup as It Races to Add Features

DarwinAI has developed AI technology for visually inspecting components during the manufacturing process and serves customers in a range of industries. But one of its core technologies is making artificial intelligence systems smaller and faster. That work that could be helpful to Apple, which is focused on running AI on devices rather than entirely in the cloud.

Apple was launching Vision Pro while the rest of the Valley Giants were pivoting to AI. But the benefit of a massive bank account is the ability to buy whatever you want.

Apple has also been really secretive about their AI plans, claiming “disclosure of strategic plans and initiatives harmful to our competitive position and would be premature in this developing area.”

Apple is at the forefront of ambient computing, and on-device AI will be a key component. Plus, Apple is the only one of the giants that isn’t really a cloud company and is most definitely a hardware company.

  1. Report Finds No Correlation Between Social Media Engagement and Content Readership

Social media apps are gradually becoming more valued as entertainment sources, while actual interaction shifts to smaller, enclosed chats and communities.

Notice how all the platforms focus on “discovery.”

Across all the articles and topics we analyzed, we found no clear connection between social engagement and actual readers of the news.

Understand vanity metrics vs. brand metrics vs. performance metrics.

  1. Podcast Frenzy Report

podcasting is taking over traditional media consumption time, with respondents reporting 28% of them watch less TV and 24% browse social media less often. Gen Z podcast discovery is a mix of methods. 46% of Gen Z respondents rely on social media recommendations, and 33% of younger Gen Z browse top charts and “best of” podcast lists.

Audio! Audio! Audio!

  1. What We Learned About Creative From Analyzing $3M in Podcast Media by Caroline Culbertson

Findings include midrolls outperforming both pre-rolls and post-rolls for placement. A quiet value-add for host-read contracts is hosts tend to go over their contracted ad length. Right Side Up found the sweet spot for “60 second” host-read ad performance was host-read creatives that landed between one to three minutes.

Podcasts foster parasocial relationships which gives host-read ads some extra oomph in the persuasion department.

  1. The bad ad ecosystem: Here’s what the research says

five types of bad ads, each varying in harm for the marketer: malicious ads, spoofed ads, scam ads, heavy ads and miscategorized ads.

The easiest thing is [ad buys] are cheap. [Bad ad creators] don’t wanna spend a ton of money on it. So they proliferate in places with really low CPMs

marketers should work on making good ads. Ensuring the proper ads for the right environments is key, along with keeping on top of creative

  1. Layoffs could be coming as debt-laden firms navigate the pain of higher rates, economists say

Higher rates spell trouble for US companies with near-term debt maturities.

Rate changes and inflation measures are the important indicators this year.


I like this take on new tech adoption from Douglas Adams.

any new technology is received differently by three different groups of people.

If you’re below the age of 15, it’s just the way things have always been.

If you’re between the ages of 15 and 35, it’s really cool and you might be able to get a job doing it.

If you’re above the age of 35, it’s unholy and against the order of society and will destroy everything.

via a16z


“Audio all the time” is one of my core marketing beliefs for 2024, so I always like more evidence that it’s a good idea.

88% of TikTok users agree that sound is vital to the TikTok experience. And for 73%, sound prompts them to “stop and look” at an ad, while also making them less likely to skip, watch longer on average and feel more positive.

via TikTok


Advertising is the new subscription revenue for platforms and Apple wants a piece.

via Gizmodo

Apple just hired a 14-year ad executive from NBCUniversal, Joseph Cady, to further beef up its growing video advertising team

via 9TO5Mac

Apple is said to be testing an AI-powered ads platform with a select group of partners

A season of ch-ch-changes is coming.